[RC5] Jubilee

David McNett nugget at distributed.net
Sat Dec 3 23:45:17 EST 2005

On 3-Dec-2005, at 10:16p, Décio Luiz Gazzoni Filho wrote:
> PS: the calculations below are oversimplified -- it assumes an  
> `average' key cracking rate, and doesn't take into account whether  
> a given participant puts more or less effort into the project. It's  
> better to take your daily keyrate from the stats page and divide it  
> by the number of remaining keys, which is (1 - (% complete)/100) 
> *2^72. Now that's almost PhD-level mathematics!

No, that's not necessary.  The quoted stat from the website (odds of  
this participant finding the key) factors in that participant's  
keyrate relative to the aggregate of all participants.  It does not  
assume an average key cracking rate.
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