Décio Luiz Gazzoni Filho
decio at decpp.net
Sun Dec 4 09:34:52 EST 2005
On Dec 4, 2005, at 2:45 AM, David McNett wrote:
> On 3-Dec-2005, at 10:16p, Décio Luiz Gazzoni Filho wrote:
>> PS: the calculations below are oversimplified -- it assumes an
>> `average' key cracking rate, and doesn't take into account whether
>> a given participant puts more or less effort into the project.
>> It's better to take your daily keyrate from the stats page and
>> divide it by the number of remaining keys, which is (1 - (%
>> complete)/100)*2^72. Now that's almost PhD-level mathematics!
> No, that's not necessary. The quoted stat from the website (odds
> of this participant finding the key) factors in that participant's
> keyrate relative to the aggregate of all participants. It does not
> assume an average key cracking rate.
Indeed. I misread the original email as taking the number of active
participants on that day, and not his keyrate. I guess I shouldn't be
making jokes of other people's reading capability!
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