[RC5] RC5 roughly doubling at this point?

bert bertodell at charter.net
Thu Mar 3 21:18:56 EST 2005


When will we reach 1% of the keyspace? :P

Bert

Daniel Quintiliani wrote:

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> Hey,
>
> Today's RC5 stats reaching 0.199% complete gave me a great idea.
> Search old messages for percent completes at different times
> throughout the project and try and guess when RC5 will end from
> that.
>
> One old message had 0.060% complete in November 2003.
> One old message had 0.068% complete in January 2004.
> Today's stats (March 2005) had 0.199% complete.
>
> I rounded up 0.068% to 0.070% and 0.199% to 0.200% and set up:
>
> 0.01% increase / 2 months = 0.13% / 26 months.
> Except that it has been about 14 months since January 2004.
>
> I'm saying that the time in months between every 0.01% percent
> increase seems to be decreasing by roughly less than half.
> Besides the fact that the result was 26 months and not 28
> months, I also say roughly less than because I frequently
> rounded up.
>
> I assume this means that RC5 is roughly doubling at this point?
>
> - --
>
> - -Dan
>
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