[RC5] RC5 roughly doubling at this point?

Jim C. Nasby decibel at distributed.net
Thu Mar 3 21:58:54 EST 2005


If someone converts
http://cvs.distributed.net/viewcvs.cgi/stats-html2/daily_totals_raw.php
to PostgreSQL, you'll have day-by-day stats to play with.

On Thu, Mar 03, 2005 at 09:13:56PM -0500, Daniel Quintiliani wrote:
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> Hey,
> 
> Today's RC5 stats reaching 0.199% complete gave me a great idea.
> Search old messages for percent completes at different times
> throughout the project and try and guess when RC5 will end from
> that.
> 
> One old message had 0.060% complete in November 2003.
> One old message had 0.068% complete in January 2004.
> Today's stats (March 2005) had 0.199% complete.
> 
> I rounded up 0.068% to 0.070% and 0.199% to 0.200% and set up:
> 
> 0.01% increase / 2 months = 0.13% / 26 months.
> Except that it has been about 14 months since January 2004.
> 
> I'm saying that the time in months between every 0.01% percent
> increase seems to be decreasing by roughly less than half.
> Besides the fact that the result was 26 months and not 28
> months, I also say roughly less than because I frequently
> rounded up.
> 
> I assume this means that RC5 is roughly doubling at this point?
> 
> - --
> 
> - -Dan
> 
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-- 
Jim C. Nasby, Database Consultant           decibel at distributed.net
Give your computer some brain candy! www.distributed.net Team #1828

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